Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.382211e-05 1.052112e-04 0.000129 0.000157 0.000188 0.000222 0.000262
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.823612e-05 8.418785e-05 0.000115 0.000154 0.000201 0.000255 0.000321
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.205766e-05 6.865602e-05 0.000103 0.000148 0.000205 0.000272 0.000356
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.177121e-05 5.871188e-05 0.000096 0.000147 0.000214 0.000295 0.000400
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.449133e-05 5.095583e-05 0.000090 0.000145 0.000221 0.000315 0.000437
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.793910e-05 4.295226e-05 0.000082 0.000141 0.000224 0.000329 0.000469
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.302805e-05 3.622345e-05 0.000075 0.000137 0.000225 0.000340 0.000496
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.379946e-06 3.078250e-05 0.000069 0.000133 0.000227 0.000353 0.000525
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.123685e-06 2.486234e-05 0.000062 0.000126 0.000223 0.000356 0.000541
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.042093e-06 2.350926e-05 0.000062 0.000131 0.000237 0.000383 0.000588
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.232795e-06 2.252750e-05 0.000063 0.000136 0.000251 0.000411 0.000637
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.455152e-06 2.134005e-05 0.000063 0.000140 0.000264 0.000437 0.000685
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.552811e-06 1.606522e-05 0.000056 0.000135 0.000268 0.000459 0.000738
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.880736e-07 1.225135e-05 0.000050 0.000133 0.000276 0.000487 0.000799
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.262291e-07 8.802636e-06 0.000044 0.000128 0.000278 0.000505 0.000846
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.142633e-08 6.684054e-06 0.000041 0.000126 0.000286 0.000533 0.000908
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.039782e-06 0.000037 0.000125 0.000294 0.000559 0.000968
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.441950e-06 0.000033 0.000121 0.000297 0.000578 0.001017
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.251983e-06 0.000029 0.000117 0.000299 0.000596 0.001064
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.425462e-06 0.000026 0.000114 0.000302 0.000615 0.001114
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.176287e-07 0.000022 0.000108 0.000298 0.000622 0.001146
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.665409e-07 0.000022 0.000112 0.000315 0.000663 0.001229
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.604877e-07 0.000022 0.000116 0.000333 0.000706 0.001315